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Quick Fix
— Fourteen states are heading to the polls today, the single biggest delegate day on the calendar. Here’s how to watch the results.
— Amy Klobuchar ended her campaign on Monday and backed Joe Biden — joined by two other former candidates, Pete Buttigieg and Beto O’Rourke — as moderate Democrats coalesce around the former vice president.
— Congressional primaries in Texas today will set the battlefield for seven battleground House seats in Texas, as Democrats hope to flip the state blue.
Good Tuesday morning, and happy Super Tuesday. Buckle up, folks. Email me at zmontellaro@politico.com, and follow me at @ZachMontellaro.
Email the rest of the Campaign Pro team at sshepard@politico.com, jarkin@politico.com and amutnick@politico.com. Follow them on Twitter: @POLITICO_Steve, @JamesArkin and allymutnick.
Days until the March 10 primaries: 7
Days until the Phoenix Democratic debate: 12
Days until the March 17 primaries: 14
Days until the 2020 election: 245
TopLine
THE BIG DAY — Super Tuesday has arrived. Fourteen states (along with American Samoa and Democrats Abroad) will vote today, awarding over 1,300 delegates. Five candidates are still in the race — Bernie Sanders, Biden, Mike Bloomberg, Elizabeth Warren and Tulsi Gabbard — with the first four in the delegate hunt across the country. We’ll have a livechat kicking off around 6:30 p.m. Eastern, so make sure to return to POLITICO’s homepage around then.
We’re in for a long night: The earliest polls close at 7 p.m. Eastern, with the last polls in the lower 48 closing in California at 11 p.m. Eastern. A team of POLITICOs has what you need to watch in every state, including some quick facts, poll closing times and advertising spending.
The two biggest prizes of the night are California and Texas. In California (reminder: we won’t have a final tally in the state for weeks), Sanders is looking strong — but how many delegates he gets is an open question. “There was a scenario a week ago where you could have seen him walking out of here with a bag of delegates that would have made anyone say … ‘I don’t know how I can overcome that,” Ace Smith, a top strategist in the state, told POLITICO’s Chris Cadelago and Holly Otterbein. “If there are two people who emerge with more than 15 percent, it’s going to be a victory with a small ‘v.’” Chris and Holly’s story has a great dive into Sanders’ campaign strategy in the state, which tries to win over everyone from Latinos to voters not registered with any party; Read the whole thing.
And in Texas, Sanders has been strong in public polling. But Biden, boosted by his South Carolina win and the last minute O’Rourke endorsement, is hoping for an upset in the state. “I expect to win Texas,” Cristobal Alex, a senior adviser to Biden and native of El Paso, Texas, told Laura Barrón-López and Marc Caputo. “The polls don’t account for results in South Carolina, which are game-changing.” But Sanders’ team says not so fast: “I’m sure Vice President Biden is very popular in Texas, but he just hasn't put in the work,” said Chuck Rocha, a senior adviser to Sanders. Biden is also hoping to ride his strong support among black voters to delegate windfalls in heavily Democratic districts that will award more delegates across the country, Marc wrote.
Meanwhile, Democrats continue to coalesce around Biden’s campaign as the Sanders alternative — including three of his former rivals. “It’s raining endorsements right now, from every corner of the country, so much so that it’s like drinking out of a firehose, our vetting machine is having a difficult time keeping up,” a Biden adviser told POLITICO’s Natasha Korecki on the wave of endorsements flowing in, which includes Klobuchar, Buttigieg and O'Rourke. POLITICO’s Elena Schneider has more on Klobuchar ending her campaign.
Also backing Biden: Former Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, who had in the past praised both Sanders and Warren. Sen. Tammy Duckworth (D-Ill.) and Reps. Gil Cisneros (D-Calif.), Veronica Escobar (D-Texas), Marcia Fudge (D-Ohio) and Jerry McNerney (D-Calif.) all backed Biden as well.
— Other outside groups jumped off the sidelines: Democracy for America backed Sanders. The organization was an early booster of Warren — it tried to push her to run in 2016 — and its endorsement is a “sign not only of Sanders’ strength, but of how far Warren has fallen,” POLITICO’s David Siders wrote.
Meanwhile, Warren picked up the backing of two prominent women-focused groups after Klobuchar’s departure: EMILY’s List and the National Organization for Women.
Presidential Big Board
HIZZONER — Bloomberg has been polling better in Deep South states than on the coasts. “This counterintuitive rise of a white, Wall Street billionaire who resisted police reform and only re-joined the Democratic Party as he was mulling a White House bid in 2018 is a story of unprecedented ad spending, persuasive surrogates and a fair amount of self-reflection for a man unaccustomed to public mea culpas,” POLITICO’s Sally Goldenberg and Maya King wrote. “It’s also a story of an unusual degree of splintering between black voters in this Democratic primary — between Biden, Bloomberg and Bernie Sanders — compared with past ones.”
— Some technology experts worry that Bloomberg’s campaign is crossing a line online. Bloomberg’s team tweeting fake quotes attributed to Sanders, hiring people to post on social media and other moves “are testing the boundary between edgy campaign fare and disinformation, as well as the limits of regulated political advertising, an array of nonpartisan technology experts tracking the 2020 candidates’ online efforts” told Laura. The campaign said there is no ill intent behind it: "Unlike Donald Trump and the [Republican National Committee], our campaign will not be using disinformation tactics to engage voters," said spokesperson Sabrina Singh.
THE PROCESS — Some state officials are encouraging mail-in ballots as worries over coronavirus grow, POLITICO’s Alice Miranda Ollstein reported.
THE CASH DASH — The RNC andTrump’s reelection campaign jointly raised over $86 million in February, the committee announced.
Down the Ballot
THE HOUSE MAP — Democrats are eyeing seven House seats in Texas, and today’s primaries will be the first test of their strength in suburbs. “Democratic strategists have zeroed in on seven House seats they came tantalizingly close to flipping in 2018. Retirements by GOP incumbents have only emboldened their prospects; three of those seats are now open. Their game plan: take advantage of Trump's suburban toxicity, while bringing in as many new Democratic voters as possible,” Campaign Pro’s Ally Mutnick wrote (for Pros) from Houston. “Yet Republican leaders in Texas and Washington still project confidence, firmly insisting no candidate will be able to replicate the ingredients that led to O’Rourke’s success” in 2018.
— The NRCC added party-switching Rep. Jeff Van Drew in NJ-02 to its Patriot Program, its program for battleground incumbents. The New Jersey Globe’s David Wildstein has more.
— Trump backed Republican Michelle Fischbach, who is running in MN-07.
IN THE COURTS — The Supreme Court will hear a Republican challenge to the Affordable Care Act — but it likely won’t be decided until after the election. The court is hearing the case “after turning down an earlier request from Democrats to fast-track a ruling by June,” POLITICO Pro Health’s Susannah Luthi wrote. “It’s unlikely the justices will rule before the election on the lawsuit, which could wipe out the Affordable Care Act’s insurance protections and coverage for millions of people. The court is expected to hear the case during its next term starting in October, but the justices did not say when it will hear oral arguments.”
FIRST IN SCORE — ON THE AIRWAVES — Democrat Ross LaJeunesse is up with a television ad in his bid to challenge Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine). LaJeunesse, who is self-funding at least part of his campaign, is running against the DSCC-endorsed Sara Gideon, and criticizes both women in the ad. “It’s just one career politician trying to replace another, “ LaJeunesse says in the ad. The latter part of the ad is largely autobiographical, where he leans into being an outsider. The campaign said it is spending $200,000 to air the ad.
— Senate Leadership Fund, the super PAC tied to Senate GOP leadership, launched a television and radio buy hitting Rep. Doug Collins (R-Ga.), who is challenging Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R-Ga.) in the all-party special election. The campaign, which according to Advertising Analytics is backed by about $450,000 in spending, strikes a similar tone to the ads from the associated nonprofit One Nation (go figure), criticizing Collins as being soft on crime.
— Security is Strength PAC, the super PAC that boosted GOP Sen. Lindsey Graham’s 2016 presidential bid (doesn’t that seem like a lifetime ago?), is back in action and laying in to Democrat Jaime Harrison, his presumptive opponent in the South Carolina Senate race. The group has booked over $500,000 in airtime through mid-March, according to Advertising Analytics, and is airing an ad saying Harrison is no outsider. The ad says he got “rich in the D.C. swamps” and highlights the fact that the Podesta Group was shut down following an investigation by Robert Mueller.
THE SENATE MAP — A new poll has Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-N.H.) with a sizable lead over each of her three potential Republican challengers, all of whom remain fairly unknown in the state right now. The University of New Hampshire Granite State poll has Shaheen in either the high-40s or low-50s against Republicans Bill O’Brien, Don Bolduc and Corky Messner. Each Republican is between 28-30 percent (576 likely general election voters; Feb. 19-25; +/- 4.1 percentage point MOE).
— Susan Collins hasn’t said how she voted in the Maine GOP presidential primary, per the Portland Press-Herald’s Eric Russell.
— Two Democratic Senate hopefuls picked their presidential horses: Presumptive Arizona nominee Mark Kelly will vote for Biden, while Charles Booker, who is running against the DSCC-endorsed Amy McGrath in Kentucky, endorsed Sanders.
— Republican megadonor Foster Friess announced that he wouldn’t run for the open Senate seat in Wyoming, per the Casper Star-Tribune’s Nick Reynolds.
THE GOVERNATORS — GOP Rep. Greg Gianforte named attorney Kristen Juras as his running mate for his gubernatorial bid, per the Great Falls Tribune’s Phil Drake.
CONSULTANTS’ CORNER — Daniel Barash, who managed Sen. Michael Bennet’s (D-Colo.) presidential campaign, is joining SKDKnickerbocker as vice president in its political division. Three more people joined its political team as well: James Conway as senior associate, Julia Sherman as political writer and Amber Gannt as an associate/EA.
CODA — QUOTE OF THE DAY: “I created Space Force. I can do anything.” Trump at a rally in Charlotte, N.C.
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How to watch Super Tuesday - Politico
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