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How the Kansas City Chiefs Can Make the Playoffs - The New York Times

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Oct. 21, 2019 Updated

The Kansas City Chiefs (5-2) beat the Denver Broncos on Thursday, increasing their chances of making the playoffs to 84 percent from 71 percent.

This calculator allows you to explore all of the _’ paths to the playoffs. As you pick winners, the colors on some games will change, reflecting their relative importance for a _ postseason berth.

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The table below represents the ’ remaining games. Pick a winner and see what happens to the _’ playoff chances.

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Or explore other possibilities, like a first-round bye or a division title, right here:

The tables below represent every N.F.L. game remaining. Use the simulator to explore which games matter most to the _’ chances.

About the simulator

With 150 games remaining, there are about 1 quattuordecillion different ways the N.F.L. regular season could end. How many of those put the _ in the playoffs? Far too many to check by hand.

So we built this simulator. Most calculators force you to choose the winners of each remaining game. Here, you can choose the outcomes of just a few games and see how your team’s chances grow or shrink. (For more information about this simulator, check out our post from 2016.)

We estimate odds by randomly simulating the remainder of the season thousands of times and counting how often the _ _.

If you don’t specify an outcome for a particular game, we use Sagarin ratings to estimate each team’s chances of winning. (For simplicity, we assume each game has a small chance of ending in a tie.)

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October 21, 2019 at 12:15PM
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How the Kansas City Chiefs Can Make the Playoffs - The New York Times
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